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News Aug. 5, 2020

Construction spending decreases in June

Construction spending decreased 0.2% from May to June and is up 0.4% compared with June 2019, according to www.abc.org.

For public construction, spending decreased 0.8% for the month and is up 5.7% year-to-date. Private nonresidential spending rose 0.2% from May to June and is down 3.2% year-to-date.

“The stability of nonresidential construction is remarkable,” said Anirban Basu, chief economist for Associated Builders and Contractors. “While gross domestic product crumbled during the second quarter, nonresidential construction spending held its own, partially due to its status as an essential industry in most cities and states. And while many contractors reported that they sustained project interruptions during the second quarter—the worst economic quarter on record—the nation’s nonresidential construction sector was still able to put roughly as much construction in place as in June 2019.

“The industry’s future remains perilous, however,” Basu continued. “Economic fundamentals in many private construction segments have been damaged by the ongoing pandemic, including emerging office and retail vacancies. Construction spending in the lodging category is down nearly 15% year over year. Backlog remains healthy, according to ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator, but many project owners are reporting greater difficulty lining up financing, which will contribute to fewer private construction starts going forward. Public finances have also been damaged. Despite the prevalence of ultra-low borrowing costs, many state and local governments may choose not to add leverage to their capital budgets going forward.”

Basu said contractors could benefit from economic stimulus decisions moving forward.

“The implication is that construction stakeholders should be heavily invested in current negotiations regarding the next round of economic stimulus,” Basu said. “In particular, contractors would benefit from additional financial support for state and local governments and businesses. Contractors will also benefit from efforts to induce workers to return to the job market expeditiously as the nascent economic expansion persists.”

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