Nonresidential construction spending increased 1.3% from December 2021 to January and is up 3.7% compared with January 2021, according to www.abc.org.
For public construction, spending increased 0.5% for the month and is down 1.1% year-to-date. Private nonresidential spending rose 1.8% from December 2021 to January and is up 7.3% year-to-date.
Associated Builders and Contractors Chief Economist Anirban Basu said the increase in construction spending is not as positive as it seems.
“Normally, one would look at headline numbers indicating that construction investment rose in America as a reason to cheer,” Basu said. “But the construction spending data are not adjusted for inflation, and in real terms, construction spending was likely down for the month. Total construction spending is up more than 8% from last year, but materials prices are up approximately 24% over that span. Worker compensation costs have also been rising rapidly. As a result, contractor profit margin expectations have worsened in recent months, according to ABC’s Construction Confidence Index.
“Circumstances are worse in the nonresidential construction segment,” Basu continued. “While construction spending is up 13% in the industry’s residential component, nonresidential spending is up less than 4% year-over-year. In certain categories, spending is down in both real and nominal terms. The fading of pandemic-related construction spending has produced a decline of 35% in the public safety segment. Financial impacts on the education sector stemming from the pandemic have resulted in a 7% decline in education-related construction spending. Spending in the beleaguered lodging segment is down nearly 25% in nominal terms.”
Basu said Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will contribute to the issue.
“Oil and other key input prices are rising, placing further upward pressure on the cost of delivering construction services,” Basu said. “Those elevated costs have already been leading some project owners to postpone projects in the hope of procuring more favorable bids in the future. Steel, copper, aluminum, neon and nickel prices are all implicated by the outbreak of war, and sanctions on Russia and limits on its exports will be in place long after hostilities end.”
